Something I discovered this year is that it’s much harder to do Oscar predictions when you’ve actually seen all of the films. Instead of just listening to the buzz and taking a random stab at it, you get caught up in how you feel.
This past year was a big year for film my friends, so without further adieu let’s get to it! This is my list – my hopefuls and my predictions.
Supporting ActressAmy Adams,
DoubtViola Davis,
DoubtPenelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina BarcelonaMarisa Tomei,
The WrestlerTaraji P. Henderson,
The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonFirst off, I’d like to say, Taraji P. Henderson,
seriously? I’m just going to take her right out of the equation.
Next, Marisa Tomei, I love you. You’re great, you have a bangin’ bod and you seem like you’d be fun to hang out with. I’m not disputing that she was good in The Wrestler but I don’t think a nomination was necessary. Then again, if Amy Adams is in the race, sure, why not? Marisa can have it because I’d take her over Adams any day. I just don’t like her. She does absolutely nothing for me and neither did the movie Doubt so I hope she doesn’t win.
For me it comes down to my girl, Penelope Cruz and the powerful Viola Davis. I thought Davis was amazing. She made such an impact and she was only on screen for a few minutes. That’s impressive. But Penelope, oh sweet Penelope, I want you to win,
desperately. I thought she was explosive, passionate, funny and just an outright pleasure to watch in Vicky Cristina Barcelona. Obviously. I think she has a good shot since she’s not up against Kate Winslet.
Supporting ActorJosh Brolin,
MilkRobert Downey Jr.,
Tropic ThunderPhilip Seymour Hoffman,
DoubtHeath Ledger, The Dark KnightMichael Shannon,
Revolutionary RoadI want Heath Ledger to win and he will. That was easy. The fact that his life was cut short makes no difference here. Dead or alive he was perfect.
If he doesn’t win, then my next pick would be Michael Shannon. Again, this was someone that was only on screen for a few minutes but he stole the show.
Am I allowed to say meh when it comes to Philip Seymour Hoffman? I feel like I might get shot for that. But seriously, meh. I get it Philip, you’re good. But aren’t you kind of the same all of the time? Sorry everyone, I know it might hurt to hear me say that.
Best ActressAnne Hathaway,
Rachel Getting MarriedAngelina Jolie,
ChangelingMelissa Leo,
Frozen RiverMeryl Streep,
DoubtKate Winslet, The ReaderLet’s pull out the big guns shall we? How about we make this a bit easier and pull Saint Ange out of this race? As an actress, she’s ok at best. Stick to bad action flicks honey.
Every part of me wants Anne Hathaway to win this. I went into
Rachel Getting Married a non-Anne fan and came out with a completely new opinion of her as an actress. I thought she was outstanding and so was the movie. I am not fooling myself though. As much as I’d like her to be the upset here and win, Kate Winslet will most likely take this.
Listen, Meryl Streep and Kate Winslet are great actresses, this we all know. They should be given fancy things celebrating their skill and beauty all of the time. I just didn’t find anything exceptional in their roles over everything else they’ve done. And if Kate Winslet had to be nominated, then why was it for
The Reader and not
Revolutionary Road? I do think
The Reader was a far superior film but her performance was better in
Revolutionary Road. She deserves to win an Oscar one day, just not for this particular role. So C’mon Academy, give this award to Hathaway or Melissa Leo! Please!
Best ActorRichard Jenkins,
The VisitorBrad Pitt,
The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonFrank Langella,
Frost/NixonSean Penn, MilkMickey Rourke,
The WrestlerThis category also has some heavyweights. Another very tough call.
Richard Jenkins, I loved you in
Flirting With Disaster and
Six Feet Under and every other friggin’ bit part you’ve ever had. You’re likeable. Unfortunately, this isn’t your year so step aside.
Brad Pitt, dare I say that I think he’s
underrated as an actor. He’s gold in my eyes. Sometimes I think his good looks are a curse for him and that they get in the way of anyone taking him seriously as an actor. However, this performance in this film, not so much. If he can’t win an Oscar for every other awesome part he’s had then he’d better not win for
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button.
I have a hard time picking between the remaining three; Frank Langella, Sean Penn and Mickey Rourke. If I look hard at the performances then honestly, I’d pull Mickey out and it would come down to Langella and Penn. I loved Mickey Rourke in
The Wrestler. I just don’t think the performance was a huge stretch for him. I was watching Mickey Rourke as a lonely, aging wrestler whereas with Langella and Penn I was no longer looking at the actors I was watching Richard Nixon and Harvey Milk. They completely disappeared into their roles. But what do I know? And don’t get me wrong, if Rourke wins I won’t be mad. I will probably cry in fact. I love the underdog! I want him to have a glorious comeback career. I feel bad for him because he looks like he’s melting and he seems lonely and his acceptance speech at the Golden Globes where he thanked his dogs had me crying like a baby.
Now, just because I thought Langella was superior to Rourke, I don’t actually think he will win this category. It really will come down to Mickey Rourke and Sean Penn. I guess there’s always the small chance that Frank Langella could be the surprise dark horse (fingers crossed!), who knows? I thought he was mesmerizing. Isn’t he always though? What a dream! I want him to be in everything, forever.
My guy here is Sean Penn. HOW CAN HE NOT WIN?! He was perfect. I was incredibly moved by his performance. He is currently, probably, the greatest male actor we’ve got.
Best DirectorDavid Fincher,
The Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonRon Howard,
Frost/NixonGus Van Sant,
MilkStephen Daldry,
The ReaderDanny Boyle, Slumdog MillionaireHonestly, I don’t even know who I want to win this category and I’m also not sure who will win although all signs seem to point to Danny Boyle.
David Fincher, I guess the Academy really loved your stupid movie since it was nominated for about 80 awards so I suppose you could sneak attack us with the win. I hope this does not happen.
It should come down to Gus Van Sant and Ron Howard if you actually look at quality. I have a real soft spot for Ron Howard (the man, not always necessarily the director). He’s adorable. I think he’s the bee’s knees so if he wins I’ll probably get giddy because I’ll get to see him up there lookin’ cute and being all Ron Howard-y on us. Plus I loved his movie and the performances in it. I don’t actually think he’s going to win though.
So Gus Van Sant it is! I will be happy either way if Howard or Van Sant wins but my money’s on Danny Boyle and I’m not happy about it. For shame Academy for snubbing Jonathan Demme!
Best PictureThe Curious Case of Benjamin ButtonFrost/NixonMilkThe ReaderSlumdog MillionaireI’ll admit it. I don’t get all the hype surrounding
Slumdog Millionaire and apparently I’m the only one. It will win this category. Don’t get me wrong, I thought it was good. I thought it was an original film for your typical North American movie-goer to see but I certainly didn’t find it exceptional. In fact, dare I say, I found some of the visual aspects downright hokey. I am not anti – Boyle and I thought some of the performances were decent (I liked the kids more than anything) but I just don’t think this film deserves to win Best Picture.
I really only loved two of the five films nominated and I think it’s quite clear at this point that those two are
Milk and
Frost/Nixon. I am quite irritated that
Rachel Getting Married was not nominated, yet
The (fucking)
Curious Case of Benjamin Button was. Gross. Hey Academy – pull your head out of your asses. If satisfactory films are getting into the Best Picture category then let me say, I’d rather that
Vicky Cristina Barcelona made it into the running. Yeah, yeah, I’m biased, deal with it.
Rachel Getting Married was engaging. It had great dialogue and heart wrenching performances. I was uncomfortable throughout because it somehow seemed very real and awkward. And that’s how I like my films – real and dialogue driven. I don’t need fancy special effects or crazy story lines, just give me some good writing and some great fucking dialogue and I’m thrilled with life.
In the end, no one really knows who is going to win (except the Academy, duh) so I guess we’ll all just have to tune in Sunday, February 22nd to find out. I’ll be on my sister’s couch, drinking Coca-Cola, snacking on bad things and yelling at the TV.